In spring training, hope sprang eternal for all teams as well as season prop bettors. At the beginning of the 2012 season, we gave you a bet for every team with our world famous ball four-cast. With roughly 100 games left in the season, it’s time to check in on how those heavy hitting predictions are doing. In this segment, we look back on the AL East preseason predictions.
New York Yankees To Win World Series 7:1
The Yankees have finally crawled back into first place in the AL East, after starting behind the surprising Baltimore Orioles for the first part of the season. Win the World Series bets are kind of like stock, you buy them early in the hopes of getting value later. As it stands, I’d sell this stock and upgrade as the Yankees have gone from 7:1 odds to win the World Series to 9:1 currently. On the other hand, if they go on a 50 game win streak and knock the odds down to 2:1, my 7:1 will have good value.
Tampa Bay Rays David Price over 14.5 wins
The Rays are 8 games over .500 but still 2 out of first in the East. Their success has been lead by strong pitching, including David Price starting off with 8 wins already. Young Mr. Price is 8-4 and will need 7 wins in his last 20-21 starts for us to be profitable in this particular bet.
Boston Red Sox under 90 wins
Theirs been a lot of talk about the Red Sox being relegated to last place in the East but what’s overlooked is that they’re only 1 game under .500. At 31-32, the Sox are on pace for 79 wins, which puts us 11 games ahead of the pace. As long as the new front office regime doesn’t make a gigantic splash at the trade deadline, I like where we’re sitting in this AL East prop bet.
Toronto Blue Jays over 81.5 wins
I thought the Blue Jays would win over 81 games easily but as it stands, they’re going to make me work for it. At 31-32, the Jay’s are also on pace for 79 wins. Like most prop bets, the rest of the season will determine the fatness of our wallets.
Nick Markakis over 176.5 hits
Betting on the Baltimore win total going over would’ve been cause for champagne being popped but who could’ve predicted this kind of success from the Orioles. As it stands, the Nick Markakis bet is likely over. He has 51 hits on the year for a .256 average but is currently on the DL for a broken bone in his right wrist. Not many players come back stroking after breaking a bone in their wrist and I don’t expect the Kake man to either.